新冠疫情扩大了房价的跌幅,导致住房市场持续低迷,世界上最严重的通缩将笼罩海湾国家。
彭博社的《全球经济观察》追踪了全球80多个国家,卡塔尔、巴林和阿联酋的通缩最为严重。
阿曼也发生了通缩,科威特发生了通货膨胀,沙特增加了三倍的增值税之后引发了市场的低迷。
失业和外国员工的离开抑制了消费者需求,为阻止病毒传播而实施的限制导致卡塔尔和阿联酋出现了创纪录的通缩。
石油价格下跌是该地区1.6万亿美元经济体的另一个挑战,这可能是其历史上最严重的经济衰退。
在海湾地区,资产价格的持续下跌带来了巨大的威胁,具有独立货币政策和灵活汇率的国家受影响更小。
但大多数本地的中央银行通常会跟随美联储的利率,以保护其货币与美元挂钩。
8月的《安永未来消费者指数》调查发现,节俭正日益成为中东和北非的常态,这种行为转变在危机结束后仍将持续,在阿联酋,文娱活动的价格在六月份比一年前下降了近19%。
除非房地产市场回暖,否则该情况不可逆转,阿联酋的房产占消费者总支出的三分之一以上。
标普全球评级称,迪拜住宅价格的下跌可能会持续到2021年。
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